Netflix reported Q3 ’25 results this week and said it expects advertising revenue to more than double in 2025 vs. 2024. As Colin and I discuss, it wasn’t that long ago that Netflix rejected the idea of offering an ad-supported tier at all; now that tier is driving significant growth for the company. 

Meanwhile, with the NBA season underway, games on NBC and Peacock are being broadcast and streamed. But, we’re skeptical that the $27 billion 11-year rights deal is likely to pay off for Peacock in sustainable subscriber growth or significantly increased time watched. 

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Antenna’s CEO Jonathan Carson joins us this week to explain his firm’s new product, Subscriber Views, which reveals programming’s true value for streaming services. Subscriber views marries licensed ACR data with Antenna’s own streaming subscriber data to derive viewers’ behavior around specific pieces of content. Subscriber Views then creates metrics for programming’s value in driving subscribers’ acquisition, retention and engagement.

As Jonathan explained, big streaming services have sophisticated analytics teams who understand the value of their own programming, but Subscriber Views provides a competitive intelligence tool to better understand viewers’ behavior on other services. Subscriber views data helps streamers better target their programming investments, schedule their releases and inform bundling options. 

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Netflix is getting closer to achieving parity revenue on subscribers to its ad-supported tier compared to subscribers to its ad-free. Colin shares his detailed analysis outlining the numbers. Then we discuss updates in the TV OS world including The Trade Desk inking a deal to bring Ventura OS to DIRECTV and Amazon launching Vega OS, which will replace Android on its Fire TVs. Last we explore the benefits of Fubo’s new deal to ingest ESPN content into its app.  

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New data from Wurl shows encouraging signs about FAST adoption, but accompanied by ongoing monetization challenges. The number of monthly active households watching FAST channels increased by 12% (though Wurl doesn’t disclose how many MAUs that translates to). In addition, average daily hours of viewing per household increased by 16% (again Wurl doesn’t share how many hours that is). Combined Wurl says the increase in total hours of viewing was up 29% in the past 12 months. 

But while viewership is up, monetization remains challenged. In particular, Wurl reported that ad fill rates continued their downward trend. As we discuss, monthly fill rates were down in six of the first eight months of 2025 vs. 2024, after having declined in 11 of the 12 months of 2024 vs. 2023.

Content choices are exploding, distribution platforms are proliferating and people are watching more content for free. All that is creating disequilibriums in FAST monetization.  

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